Welcome to our truly unique political methodology!
Hill+Knowlton Strategies is joining forces with AI pioneers Advanced Symbolics Inc. to conduct in-depth analysis of 28 key federal ridings in #ELXN43.
This series is called Ridings to Watch. Over the course of the election we will add blocks of seven strategically important ridings. Below you will find all 28 Ridings to Watch!
The team at ASI created “Polly,” an AI that predicts voter intentions based on publicly available social media data. Social media data is gathered from ASI’s online representative sample of over 270,000 Canadians selected using ASI’s patented CIC algorithm. Polly reveals the discussions that are going on about local candidates, political issues, political parties and leaders. These discussions are broken down geographically and over time.
An AI driven predictive model using this data, as well as census data, is trained and learns about historical polling and electoral results. Every time “Polly” analyses an election “She” learns from “Her” predictions and the resulting outcome, and then refines the analysis for the next time.
In short, “She” is always improving. We hope you enjoy this site!
Daily Seat Projection
Polly is continuously monitoring Canadian voter intentions. Each day, Polly delivers a seat projection that highlights the most likely scenario if the election were held that day. Using a 95% confidence interval, the coloured bands illustrate all possible outcomes.
Ridings to watch
Below you find will our interactive dashboard that features all 28 strategic ridings. Select a riding from the menu below to view projected results, top election issues, and past voting behaviour. Please note that the dashboard is best viewed on: Google Chrome, Safari, or Firefox.
Group A Ridings: Data was updated on Sept 19, 2019 for the following ridings: Drummond, King-Vaughan, Lac-St-Jean, Longueuil-St-Hubert, Malpeque, South Surrey-White Rock, and Regina-Wascana.
Group B Ridings: Data was updated on Sept 27, 2019 for the following ridings: Brampton-East, Laurentides-Labelle, Louis-Hebert, Markham-Stouffville, Richmond Centre, St. John’s East, and Vancouver-South.
Group C Ridings: Data was updated on Oct 4, 2019 for the following ridings: Edmonton-Centre, Guelph, Kamloops-Thompson-Cariboo, London-West, Repentigny, Rimouski-Neigettes-Témiscouata-Les Basques, and Vancouver-Granville.
Group D Ridings: Data was updated on Oct 15, 2019 for the following ridings: Beauce, Fredericton, Halifax, Kitchener-Centre, Trois-Rivières, Whitby, and Burlington.